>_Sharp

Sharp money
moves the line
first.

An autonomous agent samples every World Cup match's consensus odds on TxLINE, strips the bookmaker vig, and calls the steam the moment sharp money reprices an outcome. Then it grades itself on chain.

connecting to agent…
// LIVE ODDS BOARD

The board

Matches
·
Steam now
·
Open calls
·
CLV rate
·
Waiting for the first agent cycle…
// THE CALLS

Positions

No steam calls right now.
// AGENT ACTIVITY

Live log

Waiting for the agent…
// TRACK RECORD

The book

·
paper P&L · ·u bankroll from 100u start
· ROI · · record · agent-traded, self-settled on result
·
result hit rate
·
beat the close
·
avg open CLV
·
calls settled
Grading begins as calls settle at full-time.
// HOW IT WORKS

The method

01 · DE-VIG

Honest probabilities

Raw odds carry the book's margin. Sharp normalises the three outcomes to sum to one and surfaces the overround, so it reasons about true probability, not a padded price.

02 · STEAM

Sharp, not chop

A call needs directional purity and signal-to-noise, consecutive same-direction moves with low variance, not just a big jump. That separates sharp money from noise.

03 · TRADE

It takes a position

On a confirmed steam the agent opens a paper position, sized by conviction against a 100-unit bankroll, then settles it on the real full-time result. Its P&L, ROI and win-loss are the track record.

04 · PROVE

Verifiable on chain

Each call and each graded result is written to Solana as a tamper-evident memo, and the source odds are proven canonical with a live TxLINE Merkle proof against the on-chain daily root.

TxLINE consensus oddsDe-vig signal engineConviction-sized paper bookCross-market confirmationSelf-settled on resultCommit-reveal on SolanaOn-chain Merkle provenanceAutonomous 60s loop

The signal model · how conviction is scored

Direction · size and sign of the repricing0.34
Velocity · how fast the line is moving now0.22
Steam · directional purity, not chop0.20
Magnitude · move vs its own noise floor0.14
Signal / noise · sustained drift vs variance0.10

STEAM opens a call at conviction ≥ 66 with directional purity ≥ 0.5. Stake scales with conviction (0.5u to 3u on a 100u book). A call is also cross-checked against the Asian-handicap line. Every open call is graded on closing-line value each cycle and settled on the real full-time result.

Verify it yourself · trustless, on devnet

Run the sponsor's own txoracle.validate_odds against the on-chain daily Merkle root, right now, from your browser.

>_ Sharp · consensus odds on TxLINE, anchored on Solana.
TxLINE docs · TxODDS × Solana World Cup Hackathon